https://whothehellisgeorge.wordpress.com/2010/10/10/countdown-to-nov-2-what-to-expect-in-polls/

Check out the article I wrote on Oct 10th. It’ll give you some more insight into polls.  I haven’t even talked about waves, which are ripple effects of transition support….Usually the candidate who gets elected is they one who has the uptick just prior to Nov 2.