If you look at my Twitter post today, before the existing home sales came out, I predicted 5.35 million in existing home sales.  That is exactly what was achieved. However the expected number (NAR and others) was 5.25 million.
For the last two months, pending sales were positive. Also the purchase application numbers from 2 months ago showed growth. Therefore I expected 5.27 million in SAARs last month but we actually achieved only 5.05 in SAARs. Last months
number seemed off to me for those reasons

Logan Mohtashami ‏@LoganMohtashamiIrvine, CA

@StephanieDhue@CNBC@DianaOlick 5.35

@calculatedrisk 5.35

So what is the real story on this number

#1  The Good

NAR Quote: “All-cash sales were 24 percent of transactions in May for the third straight month and are down considerably from a year ago (32 percent).

Finally we…